Forecasting 2009: Uncertainty Feeds Seeds of Change

December 16, 2008

As we noted in A & O Brief, “The Post-Crisis Shape of the US Banking Industry” (September 30, 2008), the wave of mega-deals was unrivaled for such a short time period. Every industry participant, from customers to banks to industry suppliers must reconsider the future banking landscape. Renewed regulatory oversight is looming, driven by the desire to fix the economy, housing and mortgage markets.

How will the shape and size of the industry change in 2009, 2010 and beyond? Could as many as 100 banks and thrifts fail in 2009? What is the competitive outlook for surviving banks?

How will the crisis-driven consolidation play out with FinTech vendors and affect the outlook for IT spending?

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